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Lex专栏 牛市驱动的中概股回归潮

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Home is where the money is, for now. On Wednesday, internet security software maker Qihoo became the latest US-listed Chinese company to receive a buyout offer from investors and management — the 14th this year.

眼下,家乡就是财富之乡。周三,互联网安全软件制造商奇虎360(Qihoo 360)成为了在美国上市的中国公司中,最新一家收到投资者和管理层私有化要约的企业,也是今年的第14家。

padding-bottom: 64%;">Lex专栏 牛市驱动的中概股回归潮

The reason is clear. US-listed entities have been left behind while a bull market rages in China. Many trade on a sorry 20 times 2016 earnings forecasts, or less; the tech-heavy Shenzhen index is on a giddy 33. The incentive that drove Chinese companies to seek US listings — higher valuations — has been reversed. Companies taken private can relist at higher valuations back home, as Focus Media has done. So more buyouts are likely. Other groups with market values under $5bn include education provider New Oriental Education and the recruiter 51Job.

原因显而易见。在中国牛市背景下,在美国上市的股票被甩在了身后。以2016年预期盈利计算,很多中概股的市盈率只有20倍,甚至更少,令人唏嘘;而以技术股为主的深证指数却达到令人目眩的33倍。驱使中国企业在美国上市的动机是追求更高的估值,如今形势已经逆转。私有化的公司可以回中国以更高的估值再次上市,分众传媒(Focus Media)就是这样做的。因此,可能还会有更多的中概股进行私有化。其他市值在50亿美元以下的集团包括教育服务机构新东方教育科技集团(New Oriental Education and Technology Group)以及招聘机构前程无忧(51Job)。

Of course, if the Chinese rally turned into a rout, the corporate diaspora will miss the US market’s relative stability.

当然,如果中国的上涨行情变为崩盘,回归国内的中概股将会怀念美国市场相对稳定的行情。

But you can’t go home again, again.

但是,你无法一次又一次地回归。